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Italy Bank Tax Hikes Hit 2026 Earnings, Central Bank Warns

ROME, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Frequent or unexpected changes in the taxation of Italy's financial system increase uncertainty and affect the investment decisions ​of market participants, the Bank of Italy said on Thursday, ‌commenting on the government budget for next year.

Italy plans to collect €5.9 billion ($6.5 billion) from the financial sector to help fund planned tax cuts and spending hikes ​in 2027.

"The higher tax rate affects sectors with solid earnings ​and financial positions. However, this does not diminish the importance ⁠of a stable and predictable regulatory framework," representatives from the ​central bank told parliament.

The government also wants to spread over 10 years €20 ​billion in tax breaks linked to 2023 home renovation incentives that are currently scheduled to be used by taxpayers, financial and non-financial firms in 2027 to lower ​their tax burden.

"Such a measure would help curb public debt growth ​in 2027 but could have a significant impact on intermediaries' 2026 earnings," the ‌Bank ⁠of Italy said.

Italy's public debt is seen peaking by the Treasury at 138.5% of GDP next year from 138.1% in 2026, before falling to 137.9% in 2028.

"The measure could also affect liquidity of non-financial ​companies," the central ​bank added.

Il Foglio ⁠newspaper fueled a debate on whether the operation is equivalent to a sort of debt restructuring aimed ​at making Italy's payments more affordable.

Intesa Sanpaolo Chief ​Executive ⁠Carlo Messina seemed to suggest the same when on Thursday he told a parliamentary committee that the measure would amount to a "South American approach" ⁠to ​public debt management.

Messina also said the ​measure could prompt the European Central Bank to ask Italian banks to lower their exposure ​to all government debt.

($1 = 0.9027 euros)

Reporting by Giuseppe Fonte Editing by Keith Weir

Source: Reuters


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