- ART increases hedging to reduce exposure to weakening US dollar
- US dollar expected to weaken due to interest rate cuts
- Global volatility and trade tensions contribute to market uncertainty
SYDNEY, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Australia's second-biggest pension fund says it is reducing its exposure to the U.S. dollar through currency hedging as falling interest rates and ongoing global volatility have investors around the world reassessing their U.S. allocations.
Andrew Fisher, Australian Retirement Trust's (ART) general manager of total portfolio management and resilience, said the prospect of U.S. rate cuts while some other major economies were expected to lift rates would weaken the dollar this year.
Financial markets have priced in about 50 basis points worth of interest rate cuts in the U.S. in 2026, whereas rates are expected to rise in Japan and Australia and remain steady in Europe.
ART has A$353 billion ($237.39 billion) of funds under management and is the second-largest fund in Australia's A$4.5 trillion pension system, known as superannuation.
Fisher said while ART was not reducing its U.S stock holdings, it was increasing its currency hedging position to reduce exposure to a forecast weakening greenback.
"The U.S. dollar seems to be the one place where I think the U.S. administration is going to get what it wants, which is a weaker dollar," Fisher told Reuters in an interview on Monday.
"They made it clear they want the dollar to weaken. It's hurting U.S. competitiveness, and I think they're going to succeed."
Previously, almost all pension fund investors in U.S. equities would have very little currency hedging because the dollar was expected to rise on negative shocks.
A low-hedging strategy would insulate a fund because if the value of its U.S. stocks fell, it would be cushioned by the dollar also going down. ART holds about A$53 billion of U.S. stocks, according to the fund's figures.
"We're not going to change our allocation to U.S. equities, we're just going hedge more of the U.S. equities and unhedge more of the other equities," Fisher said.
"Our Japanese exposure might be fully unhedged and our U.S. exposure might be much more hedged than it has been in the past to try and get that balance right," he said.
While the dollar traded near a six-week high last week, the currency has eased this week against the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened additional tariffs on goods imported from European nations that oppose his planned takeover of Greenland.
($1 = 1.4870 Australian dollars)
Reporting by Scott Murdoch; Editing by Jamie Fered
Source: Reuters