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Most Gulf Equities Gain after Trump Predicts Mideast de-Escalation

  • Oil prices slide on Trump's comment
  • Saudi Aramco falls on downbeat profit
  • Sovereign default insurance costs fall
  • ENBD sees biggest gain in over a year

March 10 (Reuters) - Most Gulf stock markets ended higher on Tuesday, mostly led by financial shares, ​after President Donald Trump said the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran could end soon even as mutual threats persisted.

Dubai's main ‌share index jumped 2%, led by an 8.3% surge in top lender Emirates NBD (ENBD) - its biggest intraday gain since December 2024.

Among other gainers, Dubai Financial Market, which operates the emirate's stock exchange, jumped 8.2%.

However, the gains were limited by a 4.1% slide in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties and a 3.2% ​decrease in budget airliner Air Arabia amid ongoing caution over the Middle East conflict.

In Abu Dhabi, the index gained 1.4%, ​helped by a 5.8% rise in Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank and an 8.7% surge in Abu ⁠Dhabi Commercial Bank.

In steps aimed at stabilizing markets, the UAE Securities and Commodities Authority said last week that Abu Dhabi's ADX ​and Dubai's DFM exchanges suspended trading on March 2 and 3, while the two exchanges said they would temporarily set a 5% floor ​on securities declines.

The Qatari index advanced 2.5%, with the Gulf's biggest lender Qatar National Bank gaining 4.3% and petrochemical maker Industries Qatar up 4.6%.

Expectations of a near-term resolution could improve sentiment, which has recently turned risk-off. While regional markets may remain sensitive to ongoing frictions, firmer sentiment could help establish ​a floor and support a sustained rebound, said Joseph Dahrieh, Managing Director at Tickmill.

CDS SPREADS NARROWING

The cost of insuring against default ​on sovereign debt issued by several countries in the region fell on Tuesday, with five-year CDS spreads tightening after rising sharply on Monday.

Bahrain's five-year CDS ‌tightened ⁠21 basis points (bps) to 249 bps, Saudi Arabia's fell 6 bps to 82 bps, while Egypt's and Dubai's both narrowed 11 bps, to 357 bps and 61 bps respectively, S&P Global Market Intelligence data showed.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index gained 0.9%, with Al Rajhi Bank rising 2%.

Investors have been adjusting their portfolios away from the UAE market as they reassess its relatively low risk premium, especially after ​the strong rally seen earlier this ​year before the conflict, said ⁠Chiro Ghosh, head of research at SICO bank.

At the same time, Saudi Arabia is viewed as less exposed than other Gulf markets to risks linked to the Strait of Hormuz, with investors also ​considering the possibility that parts of the supply chain could be rerouted through the Red ​Sea to reduce disruption.

Saudi ⁠stocks also appear relatively attractive on valuation grounds. The index posted its weakest annual performance in a decade last year and has only made a modest start this year, prompting some investors to see room for recovery.

Oil major Saudi Aramco retreated 0.8% after reporting a 12% drop ⁠in annual ​profit mainly due to lower crude prices.

Oil prices fell on Tuesday after ​hitting a more than three-year high in the previous session, following Trump's comment.

Kuwait's was up 1.4%, while Bahrain's slipped 0.4%.

Eksehwere, Oman's index eased 0.2%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip ​index climbed 2.9%.

Reporting by Ateeq Shariff in Bengaluru and Federico Maccioni in Dubai; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar, Janane Venkatraman and Andrei Khalip

Source: Reuters


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