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Oil Hits One-Week Low as Pause in Attacks Fuels Deal Hopes

  • Brent, WTI trend lower for third session
  • US having 'good talks' with Iran, President Trump says
  • Omani proposal to Iran on Hormuz has regional backing, source says
  • Bab el-Mandeb shipping rises amid hopes of resolution in US-Iran war

July 28 (Reuters) - Oil prices extended losses on Tuesday, hitting their lowest levels in ‌more than a week as hopes for a resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict grew and traders continued to assess developments in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures were down $1.75, or 1.98%, at $86.61 by 0739 GMT, after hitting their lowest level since July 17. U.S. West Texas ​Intermediate crude was at $81.35 a barrel, down $1.26, or 1.53%, after marking its lowest since July 20.

U.S. President ​Donald Trump said on Monday Washington was having "good talks" with Iran and that there was ⁠the chance of a resolution. However, he said U.S. strikes would resume if negotiations failed while Iran issued similar comments ​about retaliation.

"While flows of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz remain low, the market hopes the situation improves based ​on new talks between Oman and Iran on a new mechanism for Hormuz," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Oman has presented a proposal to Iran for a joint regional mechanism to manage the Strait of Hormuz with voluntary fees, a Gulf source told Reuters on Tuesday.

The ​Strait of Hormuz handles roughly a fifth of global oil consumption and is one of the world's most important ​oil shipping chokepoints.

The conflict has disrupted shipping beyond the Strait of Hormuz, with traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb strait also affected. ‌Prices surged ⁠last week on fears the attacks could lead to the closure of the Bab el-Mandeb route, the second-most important oil shipping chokepoint after the Strait of Hormuz.

However, the number of vessels passing through Bab el-Mandeb rose to 28 on Monday, a four-day high, while traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained low, according to Kpler shipping data.

Analysts warned the risks ​to supply disruptions spreading to ​the Red Sea remain ⁠elevated after Saudi Arabia said it shot down drones aimed at petroleum targets, including in Riyadh. It said Iran-backed armed groups had launched the weapons from Iraq, and it ​reserved the right to respond.

Separately, Iran's Houthi allies in Yemen said they had targeted ​the East-West Pipeline ⁠carrying oil to Saudi Arabia's main Red Sea port of Yanbu in retaliation for Saudi drone incursions.

Goldman Sachs expects Brent to moderate to $80 by year-end if Hormuz fully reopens by the fourth quarter, but Red Sea disruptions and attacks on Saudi ⁠oil ​infrastructure may pose a new source of upside risk for crude and ​refined products prices.

Elsewhere, U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely fell last week alongside gasoline, while distillate stocks likely rose, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on ​Monday.

Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru and Siyi Liu in Singapore; Editing by Christopher Cushing, Stephen Coates, Kate Mayberry, Alexandra Hudson

Source: Reuters


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