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Pernod Ricard Tie-Up with Jack Daniel's Maker would Test Family Influence

  • Pernod, Brown-Forman confirmed merger talks on Thursday
  • Deal could deliver big cost savings
  • But uniting powerful families could be tough
  • Deal will not fix growth problem, analysts say

March 27 (Reuters) - A prospective tie-up between France's Pernod Ricard and Jack Daniel's maker Brown-Forman would ‌test whether the powerful families behind the two drinks groups can unite to scale up in a slowing global spirits market.

Shares in Pernod Ricard, the world's No.2 spirits maker, rose 3% on Friday after slumping to a 2009 ​low the day before when it confirmed merger talks with U.S. rival Brown-Forman.

The companies gave no ​financial details and said there was no certainty a transaction would result.

A DIFFICULT ⁠TARGET

Industry analysts said a combination would make strategic sense in a sector hit by weakening demand ​and trade tensions, and would create a stronger challenger to global leader Diageo.

Merging Brown-Forman's American whiskey ​and tequila with Pernod's global distribution and broader portfolio - currently light in both categories - could deliver annual cost savings of as much as $450 million, according to Jefferies. It would also give the combined group more clout in the ​critical U.S. market.

But some analysts warned a deal could be hard to achieve given the significant ​control held by the Ricard and Brown families, Brown-Forman's historic resistance to major transactions, and the likelihood that ‌Pernod would ⁠have to pay up to buy its smaller rival.

"As a family controlled business, touting the competitive advantages of being such, Brown-Forman has been a difficult/unlikely target," Roth analyst Bill Kirk said in a note, adding that a significant premium would likely be required.

The Brown family holds more than ​67.5% of Brown‑Forman's Class A ​voting shares, according ⁠to Barclays. Jefferies put the Ricard family's voting interest in Pernod at 21%. Reuters was not able to immediately confirm these figures.

J.P. Morgan analysts said ​it was unclear whether Pernod could realistically pursue such a large deal ​given its already ⁠stretched balance sheet, though they saw strategic merit in cost synergies and wider use of each company's distribution networks.

Still, analysts said, a deal would not automatically fix the sector's most pressing issue: top-line growth.

As ⁠of Thursday's ​close, Brown-Forman had a market capitalisation of almost $12 billion, ​while Pernod's stood at around 15 billion euros ($17 billion).

Reporting by Jakob Van Calster in ​Gdansk, Emma Rumney in London and Juveria Tabassum in Bengaluru. Editing by Mark Potter and Lisa Jucca

Source: Reuters


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