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Pound Drops as Middle East Tensions, Domestic Politics Weigh

May 28 (Reuters) - Sterling slipped for a third straight day against both the euro and the dollar, as investors focused on Middle East tensions and lingering domestic political ​concerns.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards hit a U.S. airbase on Thursday, hours after U.S. ‌President Donald Trump rejected a report that Washington was close to a deal with Tehran.

The dollar edged higher on Thursday, supported by safe-haven demand amid doubts over a deal to reopen the Strait ​of Hormuz, while investors shifted their focus to possible U.S. interest rate hikes.

The ​pound dropped 0.20% to $1.34 after hitting $1.3368, its lowest level since May 18.

“Overall, ⁠upside risks for euro/sterling remain, as some political risk could be repriced,” said ​Francesco Pesole, forex strategist at ING, after arguing that the market has recently priced out ​such a risk.

Potential rivals to British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, like Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, started positioning themselves for a possible leadership challenge that Starmer has said he will fight.

“However, absent a ​particularly hawkish ECB or a dovish Bank of England, the pair may struggle to ​trade sustainably above 0.87 in the very near term,” Pesole added.

Traders fully priced in two European Central ‌Bank ⁠rate hikes by the end of the year following hawkish remarks from ECB officials, including chief economist Philip Lane, who on Thursday said the energy shock caused by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran would likely have a persistent impact on inflation.

BoE policymaker Alan Taylor ​said last week he ​saw less risk of ⁠second-round inflation from the Iran war than from Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, while Governor Andrew Bailey said the central bank has ​time to gauge the impact of the Iran war.

The euro was ​0.10% higher ⁠at 86.69 pence, its highest level since May 19.

“Still, with the UK under a cloud of uncertainty due to the prospect of a coming leadership election in the Labour Party, ⁠we ​suspect that the euro/sterling would rally if better news ​emits from the Persian Gulf,” said Thierry Wizman, global forex and rates strategist at Macquarie Group.

Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus

Source: Reuters


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