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Pound Slumps, Oil's Surge to $120 on Iran War Rocks Markets

LONDON, March 9 (Reuters) - The pound tumbled on Monday as investors rushed to the safety of the U.S. dollar and ditched the currencies of countries most exposed to rising energy costs, as the U.S.-Iran war sent oil ​prices surging to $120 a barrel.

Sterling was last down 0.81% at $1.331 and on track for its biggest ‌daily fall in over a month.

Meanwhile, British government bonds tumbled for a third day and stocks dropped as investors weighed up the potential impact on the UK economy.

Oil prices jumped more than 25% to their highest levels since mid-2022 on Monday, with the ​global benchmark Brent crude touching $119.50 per barrel.

Major Gulf producers cut supplies and shipping disruptions rattled the market ​as the U.S.-Iran war showed few signs of slowing down.

"It's been the biggest jump since ⁠the outbreak of the pandemic, and investors are bracing for an inflation crisis," said Susannah Streeter, chief investment ​strategist at Wealth Club.

The Financial Times reported that G7 finance ministers plan to discuss a possible release of petroleum from ​reserves, helping temper some of the market moves. Brent crude was last up 16% at $107.80 a barrel.

Traders were weighing the potential costs of government support for energy bills after UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said supporting people with the cost of living ​would be at the top of his mind.

"A market theme for this week is set to be consideration ​of the implications of potential fiscal interventions to manage the impact of higher energy prices," said Sam Hill, head of market ‌insights ⁠at Lloyds Bank.

Hill and his colleagues said UK support for households related to the Russia-Ukraine spike energy prices in 2022-2023 is estimated to have cost 52 billion pounds ($69 billion).

Sterling was little changed against the euro, which also tumbled against the dollar as investors moved into a currency seen as a safe haven thanks to its dominant ​role in global finance.

The dollar ​has also benefited from ⁠the United States' status as a leading oil and gas producer. By contrast, Britain and the euro zone are heavily reliant on oil and gas imports.

The euro was ​last flat against the pound at 86.63 pence.

British government bonds tumbled again on ​Monday with yields ⁠on 10-year gilts surging more than 15 basis points (bps) to their highest levels since September at 4.776%. Yields rise as prices fall and vice versa.

Traders on Monday were pricing in a more than 50% chance the Bank of England ⁠raises interest ​rates this year, a sharp reversal from February when two cuts ​were priced in.

The FTSE 100 fell 1.5% in early trading, outperforming broader European shares which were down 2% thanks to the index's larger ​weighting of energy companies.

($1 = 0.7499 pounds)

Reporting by Harry Robertson

Source: Reuters


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