Economic news

Rupee Edges Higher on Central Bank Action, Oil Dip

MUMBAI, July 9 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee ended modestly stronger on Thursday, comforted by likely dollar-selling intervention by the Reserve Bank of India and ​a dip in oil prices as markets assessed the impact of ‌fresh U.S. strikes on Iran.

The rupee closed at 95.3875 per dollar, up 0.2% from its previous close.

U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran had called "a while ago" and wanted to ​make a deal. The remarks followed the U.S. military's fresh ​strikes on Iran, triggering Iranian attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain.

Brent ⁠crude oil prices were last down slightly at $77.5 per barrel, soothing Indian ​equities and bonds. The Nifty 50 rose 0.3% while the yield on the 10-year bond dipped ​2 basis points.

While state-run banks were spotted offering dollars early in the session, broader offers picked up as the rupee held stronger than the psychologically important 95.50 ​mark and oil prices dipped, traders said.

Asian currencies were mostly firmer as ​well while the dollar index was hovering just shy of the 101 mark.

"Our bias ‌is ⁠that higher energy prices will provide fuel for the Federal Reserve hawks and keep the dollar supported on dips," analysts at ING said in a note.

Volatility expectations for the rupee have increased slightly following the ​fresh round of ​fighting in the ⁠Middle East, with the 1-month implied volatility rising to 5.3% from 4.9% at the end of last week.

However, ​traders and analysts alike reckon that one-way rupee depreciation ​wagers ⁠are unlikely to pile up after policymakers rolled out steps to shore up dollar flows into the economy.

The steps also helped spark a record volume in ⁠corporate ​foreign exchange hedging last month, per clearing ​house data, with exporters sharply increasing hedges after said measures tempered expectations of a sharp ​rupee depreciation.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Janane Venkatraman and Eileen Soreng

Source: Reuters


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