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Rupee Falls on Weak Asia FX and Oil Dollar Demand

MUMBAI, July 6 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee tracked regional currencies lower on Monday, while dollar demand from ​local oil companies and related to maturing contracts ‌in the non-deliverable forward market also added pressure on the local unit.

The rupee touched a three-week low of 95.4150 and was down 0.2% on the day.

Locally, ​traders pointed to dollar bids from importers alongside interbank ​demand linked to maturing NDF contracts.

The Reserve Bank ⁠of India's daily fix, which attracts concentrated buying or ​selling related to maturing contracts, was hovering at a ​premium of 0.25/0.50 paisa, signalling heightened demand for dollars.

"Overall, the pair remains biddish and directionally the bias is higher on USD/INR in the ​absence of central bank pushback via interventions," a trader ​at a Mumbai-based bank said.

Asian currencies slipped between 0.1% and 0.3%, while ‌the ⁠U.S. dollar index steadied near a two-week low as investors scaled back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this year.

Investor focus is shifting to the minutes of the Fed's ​June meeting, due on ​Wednesday, for clues ⁠on policymakers' views on the rate outlook.

"We think that market pricing for US rates are probably ​too elevated right now, and as such, ​if macro ⁠data validates there is probably space for US rates to move modestly lower over time," analysts at MUFG said ⁠in ​a note.

Interest rate futures are currently ​pricing about 30 basis points of rate hikes over the remainder of 2026, per LSEG data.

Reporting ​by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Janane Venkatraman and Sonia Cheema

Source: Reuters


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