Economic news

Rupee Flat as Oil, Merchant Bids Offset Modest Inflows

MUMBAI, July 15 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Wednesday hovered around its over one-month low before ending nearly flat, wedged between modest ​portfolio inflows and dollar demand from local corporates, while traders continued ‌to keep a close watch on oil prices.

The rupee closed at 96.2550 per dollar, little changed from its close at 96.20 in the previous session.

The currency shot to an ​intraday peak of 96.06 following dollar sales from foreign banks, likely on ​behalf of custodial clients, but lost ground as merchant dollar demand ⁠picked up, traders said.

Asian currencies were largely range-bound as well, while the ​dollar index steadied just shy of the 101 mark after softer-than-expected U.S. inflation ​data pegged it back on Tuesday.

Markets have scaled back wagers on rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, but sentiment remains tentative and prone to a turnaround in case fighting ​between the U.S. and Iran escalates and oil prices rise further.

Brent futures climbed ​2% to $86.44 a barrel, as the U.S. reimposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and ‌Iran's ⁠Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps threatened to close "all other export corridors that benefit the U.S. and its allies".

"It looks like investors will struggle to price in a benign inflation environment given developments in the energy sector, where both oil and ​natural gas are on ​the rise again, ⁠while refined products like diesel are surging as Ukraine intensifies its attack on Russian refineries," ING said in a ​note.

Interest rate swap markets are pricing in about a 40-basis-point ​Fed rate ⁠hike over the next 12 months and 65 bps by the Reserve Bank of India.

Both central banks are expected to hold pat on rates at their upcoming ⁠meetings ​in late July and early August.

India's consumer inflation rose ​above the 4% medium-term target for the first time in 17 months in June, per data released ​earlier this week.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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