Economic news

Rupee Hits 1-Month High Past 95 Ahead of RBI Decision

MUMBAI, Aug 5 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose to its highest level in a month on ​Wednesday, buoyed by lower oil prices and a weaker ‌dollar, while forward premiums dropped ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision.

The currency opened 0.5% higher at 94.92 per U.S. dollar, its ​highest level since July 1, and has been moving in the 94.92-95.02 range in early ​trade.

The Brent crude oil benchmark tumbled 5.2% on Tuesday, extending losses by ⁠another 1% in Asian trade amid comments from Qatari and U.S. ​officials that fuelled hopes of a diplomatic resolution to the months-long Iran ​conflict.

The latest decline in crude oil prices reinforced the rupee's positive bias, which has been building over recent sessions. Despite the recent momentum, traders said the break past ​the 95-per-dollar mark came as a surprise.

"I hadn't expected the ​95 level to give way," a currency trader at a private-sector bank said.

"It ‌appears ⁠the underlying trend has become so supportive that positive developments are having a bigger impact (on lifting the rupee) than they normally would."

RBI OUTCOME

The decline in oil prices comes ahead of the Reserve ​Bank of India's ​policy decision ⁠due shortly, where it is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

Traders expect the policy outcome ​to have only a limited impact on the ​rupee, with ⁠oil prices, the dollar and RBI FX intervention seen as dominant drivers of the currency in the near-term.

Dollar/rupee forward premiums eased ahead ⁠of ​the policy decision, largely tracking the ​move in the spot market. The one-year implied yield fell 4 basis points to ​2.82%.

Reporting by Nimesh Vora; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala and Ronojoy Mazumdar

Source: Reuters


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