Economic news

Rupee Hits 1-Week Low as Oil Rally Fans Rate Hike Worries

MUMBAI, Sept 24(Reuters) - The Indian rupee fell to a one-week low on Thursday as a jump in oil prices and ​little progress in U.S.-Iran talks raised concerns that inflation could prompt ‌further global rate hikes.

Dollar sales by state-run banks, likely on behalf of the Reserve Bank of India, limited losses and kept the rupee above 96 per dollar.

The currency ended ​at 95.9550 per dollar, down 0.2% for the day. Earlier in ​the day, the currency had slipped to 95.96, its lowest level ⁠since September 17.

The Iran conflict has weighed on emerging market currencies as ​elevated oil prices fan inflation in energy-importing economies and strain fiscal health.

A surge ​in global bond yields has added to the pressure with U.S. Treasury yields hitting multi-year highs as traders added to wagers on rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

New York ​Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Thursday it was reasonable to ​think that the U.S. central bank might need to raise interest rates again before the ‌end ⁠of the year to help bring down inflation risks.

The dollar index was a tad higher at 101 while Asian currencies weakened between 0.1% to 0.5%. Indian equities, meanwhile, endured their worst single day drop since early July.

"Periods of ​low FX volatility always ​end with a ⁠bang and current market conditions are certainly consistent with an increased risk of that scenario materialising. High yielders across ​EM would suffer most while the yen and Swiss ​franc would ⁠outperform," MUFG said in a note.

The Indian rupee and Indonesian rupiah are among the high-yielding currencies in Asia and both were under pressure on Thursday.

Despite the headwinds ⁠from ​oil prices and higher global bond yields, near-tenor ​volatility expectations for the rupee have remained subdued with the 1-month implied volatility gauge hovering around ​the 4% mark.

Updates to market close

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar and Eileen Soreng

Source: Reuters


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