Economic news

Rupee Hits 2-Month Low as Oil Prices Rise on Supply Fears

MUMBAI, July 22 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee fell to a two-month low on Wednesday as oil prices climbed on mounting ​fears of supply disruptions through key Middle East shipping routes, although ‌dollar sales by state-run banks limited the local currency's losses.

The renewed escalation in the Iran conflict has driven oil prices up more than 25% this month, leaving the ​rupee increasingly vulnerable as higher energy costs threaten to stoke ​inflation and widen India's current account deficit.

The rupee declined 0.3% on ⁠the day to end at 96.5650, drifting towards its all-time low of ​96.96 hit in May.

Brent crude prices rose about 5% to over $95 per barrel on ​escalating hostilities between the U.S. and Iran and threats to shipping by the Iran-backed Houthi militia in Yemen.

"The Houthis' announced maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia ... would force tankers to ​enter and exit the Red Sea via the Suez Canal, adding significant ​time and expense to voyages to Asia," analysts at ING said in a note.

A ‌renewed ⁠rally in oil prices this month has strained the rupee even as a string of policy measures announced in June continues to buoy the outlook for India's balance of payments for the fiscal year ending March 2027.

The ​RBI's package of ​measures aimed at ⁠supporting the rupee attracted more than $20 billion as of July 17 and economists reckon that a part of it ​was used to unwind a portion of the central bank's ​over $100 billion ⁠forward dollar liabilities.

On Wednesday, traders said that state-run banks were offering dollars around 96.50-96.55 levels, most likely on behalf of the RBI.

Meanwhile, Indian stocks dropped ⁠about ​1% while the yield on the 10-year benchmark ​bond drifted higher. Global markets are awaiting earnings from tech majors Alphabet and Tesla later ​in the day.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar and Nivedita Bhattacharjee

Source: Reuters


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