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Rupee Hits Record Closing Low on NDF Maturities, Oil Rise

MUMBAI, May 4 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee slipped to its weakest closing level on record on Monday, pressured by heightened dollar demand ​from maturing non-deliverable forward positions and an uptick in oil prices.

The ‌rupee closed at 95.0875 against the U.S. dollar, down 0.18% from its previous close.

Reuters reported, citing sources, that India's central bank is studying ways to mobilise dollar inflows to bolster ​its foreign exchange buffers and cushion rising pressure on the rupee from ​a spike in oil prices driven by the Iran war.

Among the ⁠steps being considered is reviving a mechanism last used in 2013 to ​draw in dollar deposits from non-resident Indians and the elimination of withholding tax ​on overseas government bond investors.

Persistent capital outflows have been a sore spot for the rupee for more than a year. In 2026 alone, overseas investors have net sold about $20 billion of Indian ​stocks and bonds.

Over the course of the session on Monday, the rupee was ​moved by importer hedging, maturing NDF contracts and modest portfolio inflows while traders kept an ‌eye ⁠on outcomes of local elections.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party was on course to win two of four crucial state elections, expanding its influence and weakening its key rival half-way into his third term in office.

Iran warned U.S. forces not to ​enter the Strait of ​Hormuz after President ⁠Donald Trump said the United States would "guide out" ships stranded in the Gulf by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.

Oil-sensitive ​Asian currencies were under pressure, with the Philippine peso, down ​0.5%, leading ⁠losses. Brent crude oil futures drifted higher to nearly $110 per barrel.

"In Asia, we continue to have a long bias for CNH, KRW and MYR, and advise hedging ⁠IDR, ​INR and PHP," analysts at BofA Global Research ​said in a note.

The Chinese yuan, Korean won and Malaysian ringgit were all up between 0.1% and ​0.4%.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Janane Venkatraman, Nivedita Bhattacharjee and Mrigank Dhaniwala

Source: Reuters


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