Economic news

Rupee Near 6-Wk Low Ahead of Fed as RBI Limits Losses

MUMBAI, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee slipped to its lowest since late July on Wednesday as strong dollar ​demand from local companies and expectations of a U.S. Federal ‌Reserve rate hike later in the day weighed on the currency.

Oil prices eased modestly but remained north of $100 per barrel with likely central bank intervention helping the ​South Asian unit withstand pressure from multiple directions.

The rupee closed flat ​at 95.9550 per dollar after touching a low of 95.9750 per dollar, ⁠its weakest level since July 27.

Persistent interventions by the Reserve Bank ​of India have helped the rupee hold above the 96 per dollar ​mark over recent sessions.

Regional currencies were mostly subdued with the U.S. dollar index near multi-week peaks ahead of a widely Fed rate hike.

Investors will parse the FOMC ​statement and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference for clues on ​whether the central bank will treat any rate hike as sufficient or signal further ‌tightening ⁠ahead.

"A hawkish Fed outcome could increase pressure on the rupee and we have see the 96 level break if that happens," a trader at a foreign bank said.

Interest rate futures markets are pricing in a ​92.5% probability of ​a 25-basis-points ⁠increase when the Fed announces its decision later today while swap markets have baked in about 60 bps ​worth of rate increases over the remainder of the ​year.

"We expect ⁠the FOMC to make only the minimum necessary change to its statement, which will likely note that it is hiking to return inflation to ⁠2% ​but will likely avoid providing guidance on ​the path forward or the criteria for further hikes," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in ​a note.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Nivedita Bhattacharjee

Source: Reuters


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