Economic news

Rupee Posts Longest Winning Run in a Year on Flows

MUMBAI, June 18 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee ended higher against the U.S. dollar for a fifth consecutive session on Thursday, logging ​its longest winning streak in a year, as lenders and exports cut ‌dollar positions aggressively.

The rupee ended at 94.3325, up 0.2% from its previous close. The currency has gained about 1.5% in the last five sessions.

The rupee had opened weaker, after a ​hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's latest policy projections, and immediately ​hit day's low of 94.7025 to the U.S. dollar.

However, it ⁠soon changed its direction, climbing all the way to 94.19, its highest ​level in six weeks.

Anil Bhansali, head of treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors, attributed ​the change in direction to fixing-related selling in the USD/INR pair.

"There was selling across foreign banks and private banks, which have seen strong FCNR-B flows, while aggressive selling from ​exporters supported the rupee, despite a higher dollar index."

The central bank was ​active in small pockets through the day to absorb the dollar inflows, he added.

Exporters were ‌the ⁠dominant force in the dollar/rupee market, with aggressive dollar sales adding strong downward pressure on the pair, traders said.

The move reflected the unwinding of residual long-dollar positions, they added, as investors anticipated further dollar strength due to the ​Fed's hawkish outlook.

The ​U.S. central bank's ⁠updated projections showed a notable hardening in rate expectations, with policymakers pencilling in at least one rate hike in ​2026. Markets have also fully priced in a 25-basis-point ​hike before ⁠the end of December.

Declining crude oil prices provided an additional tailwind for the rupee. Brent crude futures dropped 2.5% in Asian trade, extending losses after the ⁠U.S. and ​Iran signed an interim peace agreement on ​Wednesday.

Lower oil prices typically support the rupee by easing India's import bill and reducing dollar demand ​from oil companies.

Reporting by Dharamraj Dhutia; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Janane Venkatraman

Source: Reuters


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