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Rupee Rangebound as Short Traders Await Fresh Entries

MUMBAI, Aug 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee lumbered in a thin range on Thursday, with both positive and ​negative global cues having limited impact on the currency ‌as sustained interventions by the Reserve Bank of India continued to anchor it.

The rupee closed at 95.7050 per dollar, up marginally from its close at ​95.7525 in the previous session.

While speculative positioning in the ​onshore market is constrained by the central bank's limits ⁠on net open positions, the bias is towards further depreciation, a trader ​at a Mumbai-based bank said.

"Those who want to enter longs (on USD/INR) are waiting ​for sizeable dips to initiate," the trader added.

Offshore market participants leaned bearish as well, a trader at a London-based hedge fund said.

The bias held firm even as the dollar ​was broadly weaker, sparking gains for most Asian currencies. Brent ​crude oil futures, though, rose over 2% to $93.8.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned of ‌economic ⁠consequences against any country that provided "any type of lifeline to Iran" as the United States looks to resolve a war it began alongside Israel nearly six months ago.

Elevated oil prices present a key macroeconomic risk to ​India since it ​imports a ⁠large majority of its energy requirements.

Elevated oil prices for longer could likely push India's medium-term consumer inflation towards 5%, and there ​is a chance of it breaching 6% as ​well, ⁠which is the RBI's upper tolerance band, analysts at ANZ said in a note.

"We therefore continue to expect the first of two 25-basis-point rate hikes ⁠in ​December 2026. That said, the timing remains ​contingent on the evolution of energy markets and monsoon-related risks," the note added.

Reporting by ​Nimesh Vora; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair, Ronojoy Mazumdar and Janane Venkatraman

Source: Reuters


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