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Rupee Slips as Oil Jumps, Portfolio Inflows Cushion Fall

MUMBAI, July 8 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee traded slightly weaker on Wednesday as renewed hostilities in the Middle East lifted oil ​prices and sapped risk sentiment, while traders pointed to modest ‌portfolio inflows that helped limit downward pressure.

The rupee was at 95.16 as of 11:05 a.m. IST, down slightly from its close at 94.9675 in the previous session.

Iran said it had ​targeted U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait on Wednesday ​after the U.S. launched a wave of military strikes on ⁠Iran in response to attacks on tankers in the Strait ​of Hormuz.

The hostilities lifted oil prices by nearly 3%, while bond yields ticked higher and ​Asia Pacific stocks fell. India's benchmark equity index, the Nifty 50, declined by 0.5%.

Elevated oil prices present a risk to net energy importers like India and a sustained rise can lead ​to both slower growth and higher inflation.

"External pressures on Asia FX remain ​in the near term, although domestic fundamentals and central bank responses are likely ‌to ⁠drive some divergent performances across the region," MUFG said in a note.

Regional central banks have taken efforts to support their respective currencies ranging from measures to draw capital flows in India to interest rate hikes ​in Indonesia and ​Philippines.

Meanwhile dollar sales ⁠by foreign banks, most likely on behalf of custodial clients, buffered some of the pressure on the ​rupee, traders said.

Alongside developments in the Middle East, investors ​are ⁠keeping an eye on evolving expectations of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate path. Minutes of the central bank's June policy meeting are due later in the ⁠day.

Interest ​rate futures are currently pricing in about ​34 bps of policy tightening by the Fed over the remainder of the year, per ​LSEG data.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Ronojoy Mazumdar

Source: Reuters


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