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Rupee Slips on Weak Stocks but State Banks Cushion Drop

MUMBAI, June 2 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee retreated below the 95 per dollar mark on Tuesday, pressured by weakness in local ​stocks and elevated importer hedging as volatile oil prices kept ‌investors on edge amid uncertainty over U.S.-Iran peace talks.

The strain, however, was cushioned by intermittent dollar sales from state-run banks, most likely on behalf of the central bank, ​four traders said.

The interventions have reinforced traders' views that the Reserve ​Bank of India is not comfortable with the rupee's persistent ⁠decline.

The currency has declined over 4% since the Iran war began in late ​February, and touched a record low of nearly 97 per dollar in ​mid-May before rebounding on RBI interventions. It was last at 95.15, down 0.2% on the day.

India's benchmark equity index, the Nifty 50, dipped on Tuesday, tracking regional equities amid growing ​doubts over the durability of a Middle East ceasefire.

U.S. President Donald Trump said ​on Monday that talks with Iran were ongoing, while Tasnim News Agency reported that Tehran had ‌suspended ⁠indirect negotiations with Washington.

The U.S. and Israel's war with Iran has triggered the largest-ever disruption to the global energy market.

Iran has effectively halted nearly all non-Iranian shipping into and out of the Gulf since the war began, choking ​off about a fifth ​of global oil ⁠and liquefied natural gas flows and driving prices up by 50% or more.

In the absence of a clear ​escalation or de-escalation in the war, traders expect Indian ​financial markets ⁠to be rangebound ahead of the RBI's monetary policy decision on Friday.

Nearly 80% of economists in the May 22-29 Reuters poll expect the repo rate to be ⁠kept ​unchanged at 5.25%.

"The RBI may raise its inflation forecast ​and trim its growth estimate. Non-rate measures to defend the INR are likely," Barclays said ​in a note.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar and Sonia Cheema

Source: Reuters


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