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S.Korea, Taiwan Lead $46B Stock Exodus from EM in June

LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - A sharp retreat from tech-heavy equities in South Korea and Taiwan fuelled net emerging market stock outflows of $46.1 billion from foreign investor ​portfolios in June, banking trade group data showed, contributing to a second ‌straight month of overall portfolio losses for developing economies.

The monthly report from the Institute of International Finance said on Friday foreign investors pulled $30.5 billion from South Korean stocks - the ​biggest outflows in more than 25 years - while Taiwan equities bled $18.3 billion.

However, ​the report showed a sharp split between equity and debt flows, ⁠with bonds pulling in $28.3 billion last month even as overall portfolio flows ​swung to a net loss of $17.8 billion.

"Investors are still willing to lend to ​EM," IIF chief economist Jonathan Fortun wrote in the report. "They are less willing to add broad equity risk."

Still, the report warned that a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve, under new ​chairman Kevin Warsh, and renewed oil volatility, could tighten dollar liquidity and raise ​the hurdle for emerging market risk.

Fortun also said that higher global discount rates, China uncertainty, ‌weaker ⁠earnings confidence and sensitivity to tech and energy positioning led investors to cut equity allocations.

The data also showed sharp regional divides; emerging Asia recorded $27 billion in total portfolio outflows in June, while Latin America, emerging Europe and the Middle ​East and North Africa ​flows were all ⁠positive.

China equity outflows also accounted for $14 billion of the total, a significant swing from May's $8.1 billion inflow, while foreign ​investors also notched $3.7 billion outflow from China's debt.

"The first half ​message is ⁠clear," Fortun wrote. "EM has still attracted capital in aggregate, but only because debt inflows have more than offset persistent equity liquidation."

First-half sovereign issuance hit roughly $170 billion, the ⁠strongest ​first half in recent years, and net issuance ​was above $100 billion for the year.

June included international bond deals from Mexico and China, Latvia and Bahrain, "confirming ​that market access remained available across regions."

Reporting by Libby George Editing by Nick Zieminski

Source: Reuters


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