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S&P Warns of Risks from China's Generous Credit Ratings

SHANGHAI, Sept 3 (Reuters) - Generous credit ratings are baking risks into China's booming bond market as Beijing attracts foreign issuers, S&P Global Ratings' Asia-Pacific ratings chief ​said on Thursday.

"Too many issuers are concentrated in the upper layer ‌of the rating scale," Christopher Lee, regional practice lead for Asia-Pacific at S&P Global Ratings, told a capital market forum in Shanghai.

If a foreign issuer is rated 'B' globally, but 'AAA' when ​it sells so-called panda bonds in China's onshore market, it means "risk ​is being introduced into the domestic market," he said.

A 'B' rating is ⁠the second-lowest rating category in the global scale, and has a five-year ​cumulative potential default rate of 15.34%, according to S&P Global Ratings. AAA is ​the top-notch rating that indicates extremely low risk of default.

"This issue will come to a head one way or another," Lee said.

The latest official data shows that of more ​than 6,500 credit bond issuers in China, nearly 90% are rated AA ​or higher. That compares with just 4.4% in the United States, according to Caitong Securities.

Lee's ‌warning ⁠comes as Chinese authorities have launched a fresh campaign to improve credit rating quality.

Since April, China's central bank, which oversees the interbank bond market, has been urging credit rating agencies to reduce the concentration of top-tier AAA ratings through ​a series of closed-door ​meetings, according to ⁠sources with direct knowledge of the guidance. That push has led to a series of rating downgrades or withdrawals.

The ​stakes are high as the 37 trillion yuan ($5.5 trillion) ​credit bond ⁠market has become increasingly important for corporate financing, and China woos foreign issuers and investors to the market.

Lee said that Chinese regulators "are moving in the right direction."

As ⁠China ​opens its bond market wider for foreign issuers, "one ​of the things that needs to happen is to create that spectrum for credit differentiation," Lee ​said.

Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom; Editing by Tom Westbrook in Singapore and Hugh Lawson

Source: Reuters


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