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South African Rand Softens as Oil Prices Rise, Fed in Focus

JOHANNESBURG, Oct 28 (Reuters) - The South African rand was under pressure in early trade on Wednesday as higher oil ​prices fuelled inflation concerns, while investors awaited the US ‌Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day for clues on the interest rate outlook.

  • At 0652 GMT, the rand ​traded at 16.68 against the dollar , down 0.2% ​from its previous close

  • Oil prices rose more than 1% ⁠on Wednesday after an attack on a refinery ​in Saudi Arabia renewed concerns around supply risks from ​the major exporter

  • Markets are awaiting the Fed's policy decision at 1800 GMT, as well as Personal Consumption Expenditures data, a key ​inflation gauge closely watched by the central bank, ​on Thursday

  • Traders largely expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged on ‌Wednesday ⁠but are pricing in an 84% chance of a December rate hike, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool

  • ETM Analytics said the rand could weaken beyond the ​17.00-per-dollar level if ​rising oil ⁠prices and Fed-related pressures persist

  • In the absence of major domestic data, the rand, ​like other emerging market currencies, tends to ​take direction ⁠from global factors, including US economic releases and geopolitical developments

  • On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index was ⁠down ​about 0.2% in early trade

  • South ​Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond weakened in early deals, with the yield ​rising 2 basis points to 8.6%

Reporting by Nilutpal Timsina

Source: Reuters


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