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Sterling Dips as Hopes of Imminent Iran Peace Deal Fade

LONDON, May 26 (Reuters) - The pound slipped on Tuesday after optimism about an Iran peace deal was tempered by U.S. attacks on Iranian targets and comments from Secretary of State Marco Rubio ​that talks could still take a few days.

Sterling was last down 0.2% ‌at $1.348 after rallying 0.6% on Monday on hopes of a deal to end the war and reopen the key Strait of Hormuz. The euro was 0.2% higher against the pound at 86.36.

Markets have dealt ​with conflicting headlines on the talks in recent days, as they have throughout ​the conflict.

On Saturday U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal was "largely negotiated", ⁠before rowing back his comments the following day.

Most recently, Rubio said on Tuesday that a ​deal could "take a few days", denting hopes for an imminent end to the conflict.

Sterling has ​wavered throughout the war, largely as investors have bought and sold the safe-haven U.S. dollar on the back of developments in peace talks.

It is now little changed against the dollar since the start of ​the conflict on February 27, though it has climbed more than 1% against the euro ​in that time.

Politics has also influenced Britain's currency, which fell after the May 7 local elections as ‌investors ⁠braced for a challenge to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer from within his own Labour Party, before rebounding in recent days.

"The prospect of a leadership challenge from (Manchester mayor) Andy Burnham has added to the headlines, but we expect only limited fiscal policy change regardless of the ​outcome," said Constantin Bolz ​and Dominic Schnider, currency ⁠strategists at UBS, in a note to clients.

They argued that once the Iran conflict is over the outlook for the pound will ​brighten.

"While GBPUSD may stay subdued in the short term due to ​UK political ⁠noise and high oil prices, we expect a recovery as uncertainty fades, oil prices normalize, and robust economic data support the pound."

The UK economy expanded 0.6% in the first quarter of the ⁠year, although ​experts have said the figures could have been distorted ​by seasonal adjustments.

Data last week pointed to signs of weakness, with UK employers cutting hiring and retail sales sliding.

Reporting by Harry Robertson; Editing by Jan Harvey

Source: Reuters


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