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Sterling Firm After UK Inflation Matches Expectations

Aug 19 (Reuters) - The British pound clung to gains against the dollar early on Wednesday after data showed UK inflation in July ​picked up, as expected.

Sterling was last up 0.14% at $1.3552, ‌resuming its ascent a day after a tepid jobs report pressured the currency. It was a touch weaker against the euro at 85.56 pence.

Investors are combing ​through the latest batch of economic data for clues on ​whether sterling's rally can continue after three consecutive weeks ⁠of gains.

The resilience of the UK economy has bolstered sentiment, but elevated ​oil prices because of the receding prospects of a deal between ​the U.S. and Iran to end their war remain a drag.

Annual consumer price inflation rose to 2.9% in July from a 15-month low of 2.6% in ​June. Economists polled by Reuters had widely expected a 2.9% increase, ​although the Bank of England predicted a smaller rise to 2.8% in forecasts ‌published ⁠at the end of last month.

"Domestically generated inflation remains contained. We remain content with our view that provided energy prices don't rise much further, CPI inflation will fall to 2.0% by the end ​of next year," ​said Ruth ⁠Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics.

The BoE has a 2% inflation target.

Traders expect at least ​one rate hike by the central bank this ​year, according ⁠to data compiled by LSEG. But a majority of economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank to leave rates unchanged at 3.75%.

Analysts at ⁠Goldman ​Sachs, which expects no rate increases ​this year, said the mismatch could be a "likely source of downside sterling pressure in the ​months ahead".

Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise

Source: Reuters


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