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UK Factories see Biggest Month-on-Month Jump in Costs since 1992, PMI

LONDON, April 1 (Reuters) - British factory cost pressures soared in March and delivery delays - due to ships avoiding the Strait of Hormuz - were the longest since mid-2022, according to a survey that laid ​bare the impact of the Middle East conflict.

The final version of S&P Global's UK ‌Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for March fell to 51.0, below a preliminary estimate of 51.4 and February's 51.7.

The survey's closely watched output gauge fell to 49.2, its first contraction since September, down from 52.5 in February. ​Growth in new orders slowed.

Manufacturers' input costs rose at the fastest pace since October 2022 ​at 71.0 and the change from February represented the biggest month-on-month jump ⁠in the index since October 1992 after Britain left the European Exchange Rate Mechanism.

March's input costs ​measure was slightly higher than a preliminary reading of 70.2 and mainly reflected rising oil and ​gas prices, as well as higher transportation costs caused by the escalating Middle East conflict, S&P said.

Output prices rose by the most in nearly a year as manufacturers began to pass their increased costs to customers.

"The war ​in the Middle East and ongoing concerns about domestic economic policy led to a scaling ​back of production," Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said.

Dobson said the growth in new orders suggested ‌the ⁠drop in production probably reflected supply issue rather than a fall in demand although demand would be tested without a swift resolution to the war.

Delays to deliveries increased at the fastest pace since July 2022 as ships rerouted away from the Strait of Hormuz which Iran effectively closed ​after the U.S.-Israeli attacks ​on Iran which began ⁠in late February.

The data underscored the Bank of England's dilemma.

Investors expect the BoE to raise rates two or possibly three times this year as ​it tries to stop higher inflation caused by the war from becoming ​a long-term ⁠problem for Britain's economy.

But most economists polled by Reuters think the central bank is likely to hold off until it has a clearer idea of the scale of the conflict's impact. The already weak ⁠pace of ​economic growth could reduce the inflationary risks, they say.

The ​manufacturing PMI's employment index fell for the 17th month in a row and at the fastest pace in seven months. Firms' ​optimism about the year ahead hit a six-month low.

Reporting by Suban Abdulla; Editing by Hugh Lawson

Source: Reuters


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