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UK Firms Keep Price Hikes Despite Iran de-Escalation: BoE

LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - British businesses showed no sign of easing their price expectations in ​June despite a de-escalation of the Iran war that ‌had sent energy costs surging, a Bank of England survey showed on Friday.

The BoE's Decision Maker Panel showed firms expected their prices to rise 4.1% ​in the year ahead in the three months to ​June, up from 4.0% in May and the highest ⁠since early 2024, suggesting the energy price shock had yet to ​release its grip on corporate pricing plans.

Price expectations were unchanged at ​4.0% on a one-month basis.

Expected year-ahead wage growth rose 0.1 percentage points to 3.5% in the three months to June.

The BoE held interest rates in ​June and is closely monitoring how higher energy costs feed ​into inflation through price rises and wages.

"A hawkish-tilting DMP survey will keep the ‌MPC ⁠on track for an extended rate hold, with risks of a hike still higher than those of a cut," Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said.

Financial markets view an interest rate ​hike by the ​end of ⁠this year as more likely than not, although the first quarter-point hike in interest rates is only ​fully priced in for April 2027.

The BoE said ​expectations ⁠for consumer price inflation among companies for the next 12 months fell to 3.3% in June alone from 3.7% in May on a single-month ⁠basis, ​the level since February before the conflict ​started.

Longer-term expectations held at 2.9% on a single-month basis.

The survey was conducted between June ​5 and June 19.

Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by Andy Bruce

Source: Reuters


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