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UK Productivity Stronger Than Thought with New Metric: ONS

LONDON, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Britain's underlying economic performance appears to have been a bit stronger than previously estimated, the country's statistics office said on Thursday, citing ​a new methodology for measuring productivity.

The Office for National Statistics said an experimental ‌approach to estimating changes in productivity showed growth in output per hour averaged 1.3% a year between 1997 and 2024.

That compared with 1.1% growth under the ONS's current approach which is based the ONS's flagship Labour ​Force Survey (LFS) which has been plagued with low response levels since the COVID-19 pandemic.

The ​biggest factor behind the change was a cut to the estimate of ⁠the hours worked, the ONS said.

Output per hour was estimated to be almost 41% higher ​than in 1997 under the new approach, compared with 34% under the current one.

The new estimates ​did not affect the estimates of overall economic growth, the ONS said.

The new methodology - which will replace existing UK labour productivity statistics from November - uses tax office data on the number of people in payrolled employment ​alongside a jobs survey sent to employers by the ONS among other inputs.

Successive British governments ​have promised to boost productivity to speed up the economy, improve living standards and ease some of the ‌pressure ⁠on the public finances.

Last year, the country's budget forecasters cut their estimate of future productivity growth, dealing a blow to then finance minister Rachel Reeves as it resulted in a reduction in expected growth and tax revenues.

Economists have previously said Britain's productivity record might not be as ​weak as the official ​measure suggested and ⁠could be turning a corner.

Last month, the Resolution Foundation, a think tank, said its measure of productivity showed annual growth in output per hour ​averaged 1.1% over the two years to the end of June ​2026, up ⁠from an annual decline of 0.7% in the two previous years.

Cliodhna Taylor, head of productivity statistics at the ONS, said Thursday's estimates reduced the size of Britain's productivity slowdown by around half in the ⁠decade ​before the COVID pandemic.

"However, overall, the 'productivity puzzle' remains, albeit ​more muted than before, as these data still point to a fundamental shift in the UK economy following the financial ​crisis" of 2007-08, Taylor said in a blog post.

Writing by William Schomberg; editing by Suban Abdulla

Source: Reuters


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