Economic news

Asia Stocks Struggle for Direction, Oil Moves Higher

  • Equity markets fluctuate between gains and losses; Kospi yoyos
  • Brent crude around $85 per barrel after attacks on Strait of Hormuz shipping
  • Yen remains in focus after US-Japan FX intervention and weak JGB auction

SINGAPORE, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Asian markets were choppy on Tuesday as investors weighed whether strong U.S. corporate earnings would boost ‌AI-related stocks in the region, while oil prices bounced back after attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.1%, as volatile South Korean shares swung between gains and losses, last up 1.2%. Japan's Nikkei 225 nudged 0.2% upwards, ​while S&P 500 e-mini futures were 0.3% higher.

"The AI trade is maturing," Societe Generale analysts wrote in a ​research report. "Investor focus is increasingly shifting toward the sustainability of margins beyond 2026," they said, ⁠citing falling earnings expectations for South Korean technology stocks that have been at the centre of recent volatility.

Overnight, markets took ​confidence from data showing that U.S. manufacturing activity increased to the highest level in more than four years in July, sending ​the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a record close.

With almost two-thirds of S&P 500 companies reporting for the second quarter, 84% have beaten earnings estimates, according to LSEG data.

Earnings announcements from Big Tech firms show "the AI capex boom remains intact," Eastspring Investments analysts, including Chief Investment Officer ​Vis Nayar, wrote in a note.

Oil prices made limited gains in Asian trading, with Brent crude up 1.6% at $85.12 a ​barrel, after falling to a three-week low on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump said he had held off on a fresh attack on Iran ‌as a ⁠gesture of goodwill in peace talks. However, Tehran has denied that any negotiations are taking place.

Against the yen , the dollar was up 0.3% at 157.62 yen, rebuilding strength after coordinated intervention by U.S. and Japanese authorities to prop up the yen last week.

The yen remains about 4% stronger against the greenback compared with the levels a week ago that prompted official support and ​marked the first U.S. intervention in ​the Japanese foreign exchange market ⁠in 15 years.

But an auction of 10-year Japanese government bonds on Tuesday also drew weaker demand than the previous sale of sovereign debt, prompting a fresh bout of jitters. The yield ​on the notes jumped 3 basis points to 2.85%.

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury ​bond was up ⁠1.2 basis points at 4.694%.

The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading steady near the lowest levels of the past two months at 100.01.

Market pricing continues to indicate that September's Federal Reserve meeting ⁠will lead ​to a lift in interest rates.

Fed funds futures are pricing an implied ​65% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the U.S. central bank's next two-day meeting ending on September 16, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

In ​cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was flat at $63,776.56 and ether slipped 0.3% to $1,862.40.

Reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Jamie Freed

Source: Reuters


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