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ECB Survey Shows Broadly Unchanged Inflation Outlook

FRANKFURT, July 24 (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation expectations remained broadly unchanged over the past three months and ​price growth is seen falling quickly next year ‌before returning back to the 2% target in 2028, a European Central Bank survey showed on Friday.

Inflation, the ECB's ​primary focus, has been running at about ​3% for months due to surging energy ⁠costs, but most economists think price growth ​is close to peaking and will decline back towards ​the target sometime in 2027.

The survey, a key input in policy deliberations, showed inflation averaging 2.7% this year, unchanged ​from the previous projection, while the 2027 ​figure was raised to 2.2% from 2.1%. Inflation will then ‌hit ⁠2% in 2028 and stay there, the survey showed.

The ECB left interest rates unchanged on Thursday as the energy price surge has yet to generate ​second-round effects that ​could perpetuate ⁠rapid inflation, but it clearly hinted at more tightening ahead, possibly as ​soon as September.

The ECB also stayed ​on ⁠hold because economic growth remained lukewarm, and fresh survey projections highlighted this weakness.

Growth this year is seen ⁠at ​0.6%, below the 1.0% projected ​three months earlier, while next year's growth was lowered to ​1.2% from 1.3%.

Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Helen Popper

Source: Reuters


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