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Energy Lifts European Earnings Forecast to Four-Year High

Nov 5 (Reuters) - Estimates for European blue-chips' third-quarter earnings growth rose for a third consecutive week as the energy sector lifted ​forecasts, surpassing a strong second quarter to reach the ‌highest level in four years, LSEG I/B/E/S data showed on Thursday.

Companies on Europe's benchmark STOXX 600 index are expected to report quarterly earnings ​growth of 25% in aggregate, up from 23.6% a week ​earlier, based on results from 212 companies and ⁠estimates for those yet to report.

The energy sector is seen ​posting a 153.4% jump in profits, up from 139% a ​week earlier. Shell and TotalEnergies reported their highest quarterly profits since 2022 last week, helped by energy prices driven by the Iran war and record refining margins.

Excluding ​energy, earnings are expected to grow 9.5%, down from ​9.8% a week earlier, while the revenue growth forecast slipped to 11.9% ‌from ⁠13.6% the previous week.

Basic materials companies have so far reported profits nearly 22% below analysts' estimates on aggregate, and consumer cyclicals 16% below, according to LSEG. The materials sector’s growth forecast ​has dropped ​to 10.1% from ⁠37.9% a week earlier.

Europe's profit recovery is broadening as spending on AI, electrification and defence ​drives demand, and remaining "areas of softness" did not ​change ⁠the overall message, UBS Global Wealth Management's Matthew Gilman wrote in a note on Wednesday.

Next week, investors will be watching results ⁠from ​Siemens, Allianz and chipmaker Infineon, among ​40 STOXX 600 companies due to report.

Reporting by Rafal Nowak and Mirko Miorelli ​in Gdansk Additional reporting by Javi West Larrañaga; Editing by Tasim Zahid

Source: Reuters


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