Economic news

Gold Falls on Oil-Fed Inflation Fears Ahead of US Midterms

  • Markets await US midterm elections
  • Oil up after US strikes Iran's Qeshm Island
  • Traders price in 75% chance of Fed rate hike in December

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on Tuesday, after gaining about 2% ‌in the previous session, as energy-driven inflation worries kept investors on edge ahead of the US midterms elections.

Spot gold slipped 1.1% to $3,904.69 per ounce by 1002 GMT. US gold futures for December ​delivery dropped 1.4% to $3,914.70.

Oil prices rose more than $1, as an Iranian official ​said a deal to the end the war was far ⁠off, while the United States struck Iran's Qeshm Island, fuelling concerns over ​risks to energy supplies that have kept energy prices high and bolstered the ​case for tighter monetary policy.

"Higher oil prices tend to put inflationary pressures up, and with inflationary pressures up, rate expectations tend to drift higher and therefore that's negative for gold. That's ​what we're observing today," said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.

Higher interest ​rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Traders currently see a 75% chance ‌that the Federal ⁠Reserve will raise rates in December, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

In the US, crucial midterm elections get underway later in the day.

"A Democratic sweep would likely prove more problematic for the AI data-centre build-out and the broader tech trade. ​Any further pressure ​on the tech ⁠complex from increased regulatory scrutiny could spill over into gold as positions continue to be cut to cover losses ​elsewhere," said Tim Waterer chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

Meanwhile, ​the World ⁠Gold Council cut its forecast for growth in gold investment this year to 200 metric tons from 400 tons previously, citing weaker appetite for bars and ⁠coins, although ​it raised its estimate for central bank ​purchases.

Among other metals, spot silver slipped 3.4% to $48.93, platinum fell 2.1% to $1,419.07 and palladium dropped 2.9% to $940.75.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra and Sherin Sans in Bengaluru; Editing by Shri Navaratnam

Source: Reuters


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