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Europe's STOXX 600 on Track to Confirm Correction as Middle East Conflict Intensifies

  • STOXX on correction path, falling 10% from record closing high
  • Telecom Italia gains on Poste Italiane's acquisition offer
  • Delivery Hero rises after Taiwan business sale to Grab Holdings
  • Financials stocks weigh on Europe's STOXX

March 23 (Reuters) - European shares fell to a four-month low on Monday and ‌were set to confirm a correction as a spike in crude prices raised expectations of interest rate hikes by the European Central Bank amid the escalating Middle East conflict.

The pan-European STOXX 600 was down 2.2% at 561.11 points after logging its third straight ​weekly loss on Friday.

The index has fallen more than 11% from February's record closing high, its ​first such drop since the April 2025 selloff on U.S. tariff worries.

An index tracking ⁠market volatility jumped 4 points to a two-week high of 35.8.

Bank-heavy Spanish and Italian indexes led declines. Financials ​are often seen as most sensitive to economic growth expectations.

Iran threatened to attack Israeli power plants and facilities supplying ​U.S. bases in the Gulf if U.S. President Donald Trump carries out his threat to "obliterate" Iran's power network, which sent crude prices to over $100 a barrel.

Energy price-sensitive airlines such as Air France declined 5% and Lufthansa fell 4%, while rate-sensitive real estate ​led sectoral declines.

Still, Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said "investors should stay invested and (be) ​positioned for upside, as trading geopolitical events is rarely a winning strategy."

The STOXX index now lags the U.S. S&P 500 ‌as the ⁠region is dependent on oil imports via the Strait of Hormuz which acts as a conduit for one-fifth of the global oil trade.

The waterway's closure has stoked inflation concerns, leading investors to now price in at least two 25-basis-point rate hikes by the European Central Bank this year, according to data compiled by LSEG, up ​from zero earlier in ​the year.

Goldman Sachs now expects the ⁠ECB to deliver two 25-basis-point interest rate hikes this year, joining peers J.P. Morgan and Barclays.

Traditional safe-havens sovereign bonds and precious metals also took a hit, with ​the yield on the German benchmark bund hitting 2011 highs.

Spain proposed fiscal measures to ​counter the economic ⁠impact of higher energy costs, bringing back the focus on elevated government debt.

Telecom Italia added 3.2% after postal service Poste Italiane announced it was launching a cash-and-share offer to buy the former phone monopoly for 10.8 billion euros ($12.5 billion). ⁠Poste Italiane ​declined 8.5%.

German company Delivery Hero advanced 1.7% after selling its food delivery ​business in Taiwan to Grab Holdings for $600 million.

Pandora shares jumped 6.1% on lower precious metal prices, which are a key material for ​the Danish jeweller.

Reporting by Avinash P and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Nivedita Bhattacharjee

Source: Reuters


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