Economic news

Rupee Hits Low as Indian Assets Drop on Worries of Escalating Middle East War

  • Rupee down 3% since the start of Iran war
  • Worries over energy supplies hurts Indian equities, bonds
  • Central bank intervention has limited volatility, traders say

MUMBAI, March 23 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee fell to ​a record low on Monday as Indian assets dropped on worries that the Middle ‌East conflict could keep energy supplies disrupted for longer, raising risks for Asia's third-largest economy.

The rupee fell to 93.98 against the U.S. dollar, eclipsing its previous low of 93.7350 hit on Friday.

It dipped past the 94-per-dollar mark on ​the interbank order matching system after the local spot trading session ended at 3:30 p.m. ​IST.

The South Asian currency has declined about 3% since the Iran war began on February 28, ⁠hurt by an over 50% surge in oil prices and severe disruptions to gas supplies. ​Analysts reckon more pain could be in store for the rupee and its Asian peers if the ​war drags on.

Asian currencies were down between 0.1% to 0.8% on Monday as hopes of an off-ramp to hostilities dimmed over the weekend while the dollar index rose 0.3% to 99.9, benefiting from safe-haven demand.

"A sell-everything mood" ​in markets is affecting equities, bonds and precious metals, ING said in a note. "This is an ​ideal environment for the dollar, especially against higher beta currencies."

India's benchmark equity index Nifty 50 fell more than 2% ‌on ⁠Monday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose 10 basis points to 6.847%.

Foreign investors have pulled out over $11 billion from Indian stocks and bonds in March, with the month on track for the heaviest monthly outflows since October 2024, further pressuring the local currency.

Despite multiple headwinds, the ​rupee has held up better ​than some of ⁠its peers during the crisis, helped by frequent interventions by the Reserve Bank of India.

While the rupee has declined 3% since the Iran war began, ​peers such as the Korean won and Thai baht are down 5% ​and nearly ⁠6%, respectively.

On Monday, traders said that the central bank's presence in the market was mild and likely concentrated in the non-deliverable forwards market.

Looking ahead, investors are keeping their focus on a looming deadline laid ⁠out by ​U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump has threatened to hit Iran's ​electricity grid in case the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened by around 2344 GMT on Monday.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala, Sumana Nandy and Janane Venkatraman

Source: Reuters


To leave a comment you must or Join us


More news


Back to economic news list

By visiting our website and services, you agree to the conditions of use of cookies. Learn more
I agree