Economic news

Gold Plunges on Stronger Dollar, Fed Tightening Expectations

  • Gold falls to lowest level since November
  • Silver, platinum at lowest since mid-December
  • Oil prices hold above $110/bbl
  • Market bets on Fed rate hike increases

March 23 (Reuters) - Gold fell ​more than 8% at one point on Monday, hitting a four-month low, after logging its biggest weekly loss ‌in about 43 years, as investors rushed to unwind positions amid a strengthening dollar and growing expectations of U.S. rate rises.

Spot gold declined 4.9% to $4,266.47 per ounce by 1017 GMT, extending losses into a ninth straight session. It had shed more than ​8% to $4,097.99 earlier in the session to its lowest level since November 24.

The precious ​metal has fallen about 22% since the Middle East conflict began on February ⁠28, and has retreated about 25% from its record peak of $5,594.82 reached on January 29.

U.S. ​gold futures for April delivery dropped 6.7% to $4,267.50.

The dollar and benchmark 10‑year U.S. Treasury yields rose, ​pressuring gold prices.

While gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, rising energy prices due to the Iran war have raised the prospect of higher interest rates, dimming non-yielding bullion's appeal.

"Markets no longer see any Fed ​rate cuts this year and have started pricing in chances of hikes, boosting the U.S. ​dollar and compounding bullion's weakness," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

"Meanwhile, gold also falls victim ‌to a ⁠search for cash and a rotation into energy commodities."

Oil held above $110 per barrel on Monday .

Market bets on a U.S. rate hike this year have surged, with futures now implying the Federal Reserve is likelier to raise rates than cut them by the end of 2026, according to CME's FedWatch ​tool.

Gold's fall to its ​lowest level since ⁠November has seen it return to its 200-day moving average.

However, some analysts say the broader trajectory for gold could remain positive, with the metal ​up about 42% on a one-year basis.

"Once the dust settles and the ​current wave ⁠of forced selling runs its course, the outlook for gold in particular may improve again quite sharply," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy, Saxo Bank, in a note.

Other precious metals also declined sharply, ⁠with ​spot silver declining 5.5% to $64.01 per ounce and platinum slipping 7.2% to $1,783.30. Both ​metals earlier hit their lowest levels since mid-December.

Palladium shed 2.1% to $1,374.73.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha and Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Susan Fenton

Source: Reuters


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