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French Banks Lag US in Trading as Dollar, Iran War Weigh

  • Shares in BNP, SocGen, Credit Agricole drop sharply
  • Trading lags US rivals
  • Weak dollar drags revenues
  • Retail banking offsets pressures

PARIS, April 30 (Reuters) - French banks BNP Paribas, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole landed subdued trading results on Thursday, ​prompting share price falls as they lagged U.S. rivals due to a weak dollar and a failure to capitalise on Iran ‌war-linked market volatility.

Overall, the French trio broadly met first-quarter market expectations, supported by resilient retail banking and cost controls, but that strength did not extend to their trading desks, where results were broadly weaker.

Shares in BNP, SocGen and Credit Agricole were down by 4.5%, 5.1% and 5.8% respectively at 0950 GMT as investors digested their first-quarter ​results.

SUBDUED TRADING PERFORMANCES

Unlike the French listed banks, their U.S. counterparts on Wall Street once again delivered bumper trading results, highlighting a long-standing ​challenge for European banks in the global investment banking business.

U.S. banks continue to outpace European rivals in trading and ⁠investment banking, aided by scale, deeper capital markets and more favourable regulation.

JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup  all reported sharply higher revenues from equities ​and fixed income trading, benefiting from heavy client activity across rates, commodities and currencies.

Although BNP reported a modest increase in its trading revenues, its fixed ​income performance was largely flat.

Credit Agricole posted the biggest miss overall, with revenue falling short of expectations across several businesses, including in its fixed income trading.

SocGen was hardest hit, reporting an 18% drop in sales from trading in fixed income, currencies and commodities, citing weaker client activity and tougher European rates markets.

SocGen CEO Slawomir Krupa ​told reporters that two main factors were responsible for the slump: weaker client activity and volatile short-term rates linked to the Middle East crisis, ​combined with the bank's reliance on European interest rate trading and lack of commodities business.

This left it more exposed than more diversified U.S. rivals.

DOLLAR DRAG

Currency moves were ‌a clear ⁠drag as all three French lenders generate a significant share of investment banking revenues in U.S. dollars, which are then translated into euros.

The weaker dollar, which came amid heightened global uncertainty in part due to the effects of the Iran war, reduced reported earnings even where underlying activity held up.

Typically seen as a safe haven, the dollar instead weakened as investors rotated into the euro, yen and gold, amid concerns over U.S. trade ​policy and political risk.

BNP, SocGen and Deutsche Bank ​all flagged the dollar effect.

PROVISIONS RISE ⁠CAUTIOUSLY

The French lenders also raised provisions for potential loan losses, echoing a cautious stance across European banking.

The Iran war and its impact on energy prices and global growth prompted banks to build buffers, although executives stressed that ​asset quality remained sound and that the moves were largely precautionary.

"It all depends on the duration of ​this conflict," Krupa said, ⁠speaking of the impact of the war on the outlook for growth in Europe — and by extension loan demand, adding that if the conflict ends in a few weeks, the impact would be limited.

BNP and Credit Agricole both increased provisions, while SocGen's provisioning rose less.

European rivals including Deutsche Bank and Lloyds ⁠reported similar ​trends, suggesting growing caution rather than signs of stress.

What did support earnings at the ​French banks was the strength of domestic retail banking. SocGen benefited from improved margins in its retail business after changes to savings rates and steep cost reduction.

BNP also saw gains ​in France and Belgium, while Credit Agricole also reported improved margins at home.

Reporting by Mathieu Rosemain; Editing by Ingrid Melander, Tomasz Janowski and Alexander Smith

Source: Reuters


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