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Pound Edges Up as Markets await BoE Signals on Rate Outlook

April 30 (Reuters) - The pound gained versus a weaker dollar as the Bank of England left rates unchanged and maintained a ​cautious, wait‑and‑see approach to the fallout from the Middle East conflict.

The BoE set ‌out scenarios for the economic impact of the Iran war, one of which could require a "forceful" increase in borrowing costs.

The pound was last 0.2% higher against the dollar at $1.3503, and roughly ​unchanged against the euro at 86.63 pence.

Sterling dropped sharply versus the yen, ​which rose more than 2% against the dollar after an intervention warning ⁠by the Bank of Japan to support the Japanese currency. Sterling was last ​down 2.1% versus the yen at 211.51.

The Monetary Policy Committee's nine members voted 8-1 to ​keep the BoE's benchmark Bank Rate at 3.75%, with only Chief Economist Huw Pill seeking a hike to 4.0% now, in line with expectations in a Reuters poll of economists.

Some ​analysts flagged that a 9-0 outcome would have been a dovish surprise.

"A period ​of watchful waiting is underway at the Bank of England as the MPC continues to ‌grapple ⁠with the impact of the Iran conflict on the UK economy," said Jessica Hinds, director in Fitch Ratings’ Economics team.

"All in all, the BoE continues to strike a balancing act between tackling inflation persistence and supporting growth and the labour market, ​especially as wage ​growth is slowing," ⁠she added.

Faced with deep uncertainty about the duration of the war and the extent of the economic damage it will ​cause, the BoE on Thursday scrapped its usual practice of publishing a ​central forecast ⁠for inflation and other key economic indicators.

"With some slack emerging in the labour market and growth likely to weaken if disruption drags on, we doubt the Bank ⁠will tighten ​unless economic activity stays strong enough to absorb ​it," said David Rees, head of global economics at Schroders.

reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Kate Mayberry and Gareth Jones

Source: Reuters


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