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GBP Steadies near Pre-War Levels; Traders Look Past UK Politics

LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - The British pound steadied on Friday, having returned to levels seen before the onset of the Iran war, with traders overlooking the renewed pressure on British Prime Minister Keir Starmer ​to resign.

Starmer is under pressure despite sacking a senior official following news that Britain's ‌former ambassador to the United States had failed security vetting but was still handed the job.

Sterling was largely unchanged versus the dollar at $1.35305, in line with broader rangebound currency markets.

"I thought the story would be bigger for markets but ​Starmer has faced multiple calls to resign and seems to survive each time," said Neil ​Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets.

"There is no sense that he is ⁠about to resign on this and a civil servant...has taken the flak instead. This may ​be enough for the market to assume that Starmer is safe for now."

Against the euro, the pound ​slipped 0.1% to 87.155.

The war in the Middle East has caused a global energy price spike, fanning concern around inflation and growth.

Money markets are betting on at least one 25 basis point rate increase from the BoE this ​year, a stark reversal from before the war began when there had been expectations for two ​rate cuts .

On Thursday, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told BBC News that the central bank was "not going to rush ‌to ⁠judgements" on interest rate rises.

"We have to see the BoE cut to support growth and Bailey has been trying to steer the market back a bit with his comments...if we get higher yields because of fiscal concerns then that equals a weaker currency," said Wilson.

The pound fell 1.9% in March ​as the Middle East ​conflict weighed on markets. ⁠The closure of the Strait of Hormuz - critical for the flow of energy - dealt a blow to the outlook for the British economy.

Earlier this week, ​Britain suffered the sharpest cut to economic growth forecasts for the world's large ​rich economies ⁠by the International Monetary Fund, and finance minister Rachel Reeves slammed the "folly" of the U.S. strategy for the conflict.

Still, sterling is headed for its best monthly performance in a year in April so far, rising ⁠2.6% as ​markets are increasingly betting on a resolution to the ​war.

The pound also found some support this week after the latest GDP figures from the UK Office for National Statistics came in ​well above economists' expectations.

Editing by Kirsten Donovan

Source: Reuters


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