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German Investor Morale Rises but 'no Fresh Start' Yet

BERLIN, May 12 (Reuters) - German investor morale unexpectedly improved in May, although it remained in negative territory overall as ​businesses continue to feel the economic consequences of the Iran war, ‌the ZEW economic research institute said on Tuesday.

After two consecutive months of strong declines in economic expectations, the indicator rose unexpectedly to minus 10.2 points in May from last ​month's minus 17.2. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected the ​reading to fall to minus 19.8 points.

"Financial market experts are ⁠hoping that the Iran war will end soon. Nevertheless, weak industrial production, ​rising energy prices and an inflation rate that exceeds the 2% mark ​continue to burden the German economy," said ZEW president Achim Wambach.

NO FRESH START

ZEW's assessment of the current economic situation slightly deteriorated in May, with the indicator falling by ​4.1 points in line with expectations to reach minus 77.8.

"This is ​no fresh start - the ongoing war in Iran continues to weigh heavily on the ‌mood," said ⁠Alexander Krueger, chief economist at Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe Privatbank.

"The confrontation has already dragged on too long to simply reset the clock once the war ends," he added.

The spike in oil and gas prices following the start ​of joint U.S.-Israeli ​strikes on Iran ⁠on February 28 has added to the struggles of Europe's largest economy as it tries to regain momentum ​in the long wake of the COVID pandemic.

The government ​has already ⁠halved its 2026 growth forecast to just 0.5%, citing the impact of the Iran crisis.

German EU-harmonised inflation rose to 2.9% in April, driven by a 10.1% ⁠year-on-year ​spike in energy prices, while the number ​of unemployed people in Germany rose above the politically sensitive 3 million mark in April.

Reporting by ​Linda Pasquini and Friederike Heine; Editing by Matthias Williams and Hugh Lawson

Source: Reuters


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