Economic news

Gold Set for Weekly Loss as Oil Inflation Lifts Rate Bets

  • Dollar holds near six-week high on U.S.-Iran uncertainty
  • Traders see 41% chance of a 25-bp U.S. rate hike in December
  • Trump to swear in Warsh ​as Fed chair on Friday
  • All metals on track for weekly losses

May 22 (Reuters) - Gold edged lower on Friday and was headed for a second consecutive weekly drop, as elevated oil prices fuelled fears of inflation and boosted expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike ​this year.

Spot gold was down 0.4% at $4,524 per ounce, as of 0904 ​GMT. The metal has shed about 0.4% so far in the ⁠week.

U.S. gold futures for June delivery lost 0.4% to $4,524.20.

Brent crude oil prices held ​above $105 a barrel as investors doubted the prospects of a breakthrough in U.S.-Iran peace ​talks, even as Iranian media reported that Iran's foreign minister met Pakistan's interior minister on Friday to discuss proposals to end the war.

"Given the current high negative correlation to oil, dollar, and yields, ​these – especially oil - will set the tone for gold in the upcoming sessions," said ​Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Higher oil prices stoke inflation risks, increasing chances ‌of higher-for-longer ⁠interest rates. While gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates tend to weigh on the non-yielding metal.

Markets are now pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike before year-end, with a 41% chance of a 25 basis-point hike ​in December, according ​to CME Group's ⁠FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

The dollar held near a six-week high, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

"Technically, the 200-day moving ​average at $4,372 and the 50-day at $4,667 continue to define the outer ​boundaries, with ⁠gold likely retaining a slight negative bias until the Middle East crisis is resolved," Hansen said.

Elsewhere, U.S. President Donald Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as Fed chair later in ⁠the day ​at the White House, the administration said.

Spot silver ​fell 1.1% to $75.86 per ounce, platinum lost 1.5% to $1,935.90 and palladium fell 1.1% to $1,363.21. All the metals were ​on course for weekly losses.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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