Economic news

Gold Ticks Up as Bonds Rout Pauses

  • US Vice President Vance says lots of progress made in US-Iran talks
  • Minutes from Fed's April policy meeting due at 1800 GMT
  • Traders see 40% chance of US rate hike in December

May 20 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices ticked up on Wednesday as ‌U.S. Treasury yields slipped with hopes of a potential resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict easing some inflation concerns.

Spot gold gained 0.3% to $4,494.50 per ounce, as of 1116 GMT, after falling to its lowest level since March 30 ​earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures for June delivery trimmed earlier losses and were ​0.3% lower at $4,497.40.

"Any positive progress in U.S.-Iran talks that lead to a potential ⁠re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz may boost gold prices as the dollar weakens and inflation ​fears cool," Lukman Otunuga, senior research analyst at FXTM, said.

"However, if talks remain in limbo or ​tensions escalate further, gold may weaken as inflation fears intensify along with rate hike bets despite the risk-off mood."

U.S. President Donald Trump said the war with Iran would be over "very quickly", while Vice President JD Vance talked up ​progress in talks with Tehran about an agreement to end hostilities.

Brent crude was down around 3% ​while WTI lost 6% on the news, but both held above the $100 a barrel mark.

The dollar held near ‌a ⁠six-week high, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for other currency-holders.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields eased but hovered around a more-than-one-year high, as higher energy prices fuelled inflation worries and boosted bets for higher U.S. interest rates.

Higher Treasury yields raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, including gold.

The Federal ​Reserve will avoid cutting rates ​this year, according to ⁠most economists polled by Reuters who largely pushed long-held calls for reductions into 2027 on hopes the current inflation flare-up is temporary.

Markets are increasingly ​pricing in possibilities of the Fed tightening monetary policy this year, with ​a 40% ⁠chance of a rate hike expected in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors now await the minutes from the Fed's April policy meeting, due later in the day.

"Longer-term support (for gold) from geopolitical uncertainty, ⁠fiscal debt ​concerns and central bank reserve diversification remains intact," ANZ ​said in a note.

Spot silver rose 2.6% to $75.73 per ounce, platinum gained 0.9% to $1,938.90, and palladium was up 1.3% to $1,371.10.

Reporting ​by Noel John in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Ishaan Arora; Editing by Vijay Kishore and Emelia Sithole-Matarise

Source: Reuters


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