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Industry Group Cuts Global Steel Demand Forecast for 2026 dacue to Iran War

LONDON, April 14 (Reuters) - The World Steel Association on Tuesday cut its ​forecast for global crude steel demand this year, ‌partly due to the Iran war slashing consumption in the Middle East.

The industry group cut its forecast for growth in steel ​demand in 2026 to 0.3% at 1.72 billion ​metric tons from a previous forecast in October ⁠of 1.3%.

"We expect the ongoing conflict in the Middle ​East to result in a sharp drop in that region’s ​steel demand for 2026, which was otherwise positioned for strong growth," said Alfonso Hidalgo Calcerrada, chair of the group's economics committee.

"We ​are now transitioning to a path of modest growth ​in 2026, with a more pronounced acceleration projected for 2027."

Crude steel demand ‌is ⁠expected to gain 2.2% next year to 1.76 billion tones, the group added.

China, the world's biggest steel producer, is expected to see output fall by 1.5% this ​year due to ​its troubled ⁠property and construction sector and be flat in 2027, it added.

"As the structural realignment ​of the property market stabilises, we anticipate that ​Chinese ⁠steel demand may transition into a period of cyclical stability," a statement said.

Demand in India, the world's fastest growing ⁠major ​steel market, is forecast to remain ​strong, climbing 7.4% this year and jumping 9.2% in 2027, the group ​said.

Reporting by Eric Onstad; Editing by Alison Williams and Sonia Cheema

Source: Reuters


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