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INR Hits Low Past 96/USD as Oil Surge Fans Economic Worries

MUMBAI, May 15 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee weakened to an all-time low on Friday, as oil prices neared $110 per ​barrel, intensifying economic challenges for the world's third-biggest crude importer, with strains emerging ‌in key indicators.

The rupee fell 0.4% to 96.1350 per U.S. dollar, eclipsing its previous all-time low of 95.9575 hit in the previous session.

The rupee ended the session at 95.9650, down 1.5% week-on-week.

The currency has ​declined over 6% year-to-date and is Asia's worst-performing unit, battered by persistent capital outflows and ​worries over the balance of payments strain as the Iran war keeps energy prices ⁠on the boil.

Brent crude futures rose over 3% to $109 per barrel on Friday, heightening ​worries over global inflation and sending bond yields higher on rising expectations of interest rate hikes ​this year.

"The longer the conflict dragged on, the more the effects would manifest in the form of higher inflation, weaker economic growth, and a deterioration in external balances especially for large net energy importers," ​Khoon Goh, head of Asia Research at ANZ, said in a note.

"Central banks in the region might ​be forced to tighten policy in response to the inflation shock as well as to stabilise exchange ‌rates," ⁠the note said.

Asian currencies were down between 0.3% and 0.8%, while regional stocks slumped more than 2%.

DATA SIGNAL STRAIN

Data on Friday showed that India's merchandise trade deficit widened to $28.38 billion in April, as the Middle East conflict hindered shipments and disrupted energy imports, making them costlier. India ​imports more than 80% ​of its crude ⁠oil needs and 60% of its cooking gas.

The trade data followed figures showing India's wholesale inflation quickened to a three-and-a-half-year high in April.

Following ​modest retail fuel price hikes on Friday, economists at Goldman Sachs ​expect India's consumer ⁠inflation to average around 4% in May and forecast two 25-basis-point rate hikes in October and December.

India's 10-year bond yield rose to an over five-week high of 7.07%, up 9 bps this week, ⁠while ​the benchmark equity index Nifty 50 declined over 2% ​week-on-week.

Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar and Eileen Soreng

Source: Reuters


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