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Italy Saw Modest Growth in Q1, Supported by Olympics, Cbank Estimates

MILAN, (Reuters) - The Italian economy posted modest growth in the first quarter, supported by the Winter Olympics in February which drew a major influx of ​tourists, the country's central bank said on Friday.

"There are indications gross ‌domestic product continued to grow at a moderate pace in the first quarter, sustained by activity in services, particularly those aimed at firms," the Bank of Italy said in ​its quarterly economic bulletin.

It provided no numerical estimate for first quarter GDP ​data, which will be published by statistics institute ISTAT on ⁠April 30.

The euro zone's third-largest economy grew by 0.3% in the fourth quarter ​of last year from the previous three months.

The Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics "are estimated to ​have made a positive contribution (to first quarter growth), as shown by data on the presence of foreign tourists and on international flights," the bulletin said.

Citing conflict in the Middle East, ​which has pushed energy prices higher and increased global uncertainty, the Bank ​of Italy flagged significant downside risks to consumption and investment this year.

The central bank confirmed ‌forecasts it ⁠issued earlier this month, when it cut Italy's growth outlook for 2026 and 2027 to 0.6% and 0.5% respectively.

Friday's bulletin also highlighted upside risks for inflation, driven by surging oil and gas prices for a country that is ​heavily dependent on imports ​for its energy ⁠needs.

Rising costs will also weigh on the competitiveness of energy-intensive sectors, such as chemicals, metals and paper products, which ​account for about 16% of Italy's goods exports - a share ​similar to ⁠that of Germany, the bank warned.

The International Monetary Fund this week cut its growth forecasts for Italy to 0.5% in both 2026 and 2027, citing the fallout ⁠from ​the Middle East conflict.

The weakening outlook makes life ​harder for Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government which is trying to balance the need to support growth ​against compliance with EU budget rules.

Writing by Alessia Pé, editing by Gavin Jones

Source: Reuters


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