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Japan June Spending Drops on Weather, Iran Tensions

TOKYO, Aug 7 (Reuters) - Japanese household spending fell unexpectedly in June, government data showed on Friday, as ​weather-related factors weighed on outlays, while analysts expect private ‌consumption to be subdued amid sentiment hit by the Middle East conflict.

  • Consumer spending dropped 3.3% year-on-year, data from the internal affairs ministry showed, falling for a ​seventh straight month as it underperformed a median market forecast ​for a rise of 1%.

  • On a seasonally adjusted, month-on-month basis, ⁠spending decreased 6.4% versus an estimated drop of 3.1%.

  • The indicator ​will be among factors considered by the Bank of Japan in deciding ​whether to raise interest rates as soon as September, though the data itself is unlikely to weigh heavily on the decision.

  • A ministry official attributed the June slump ​in outlays to typhoons and increased rainfall, while stopping short of ​blaming it squarely on the rising cost of living.

  • Still, the share of income allocated ‌to ⁠consumption has been declining since late last year, the official added, a sign households may be putting more of their earnings into savings.

  • Japan's real wages grew 1.6% in June from a year before, a sixth ​consecutive month of ​increases, labour ministry ⁠data showed this week.

  • Looking ahead, it may be difficult to expect solid growth in overall private consumption ​as the Iran war pushes up costs for ​key items ⁠such as food and energy despite subsidies, said Sota Takano, senior economist at Itochu Research Institute.

  • "If the situation suddenly improves dramatically, that would be ⁠a ​different story," Takano said, but saw the ​uncertainty as likely to persist, in which case, he added, "Sentiment is unlikely to pick ​up much."

Reporting by Satoshi Sugiyama; Editing by Chang-Ran Kim and Clarence Fernandez

Source: Reuters


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