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Oil Climbs over 1% as Hormuz Shipping Constraints Persist Despite Hopes for US-Iran Talks

  • Hormuz strait remains largely shut despite ceasefire
  • U.S. to end waivers on Iranian and Russian oil
  • Official U.S. oil inventory data due Wednesday

LONDON, April 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices gained more than 1% as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained constrained, outweighing expectations of ‌renewed U.S.-Iran talks aimed at ending the war in the Middle East.

Forty-five days after Iran's Revolutionary Guards declared the strait closed, effectively shutting in about 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments, transit through the waterway remains uncertain despite a two-week ceasefire. Traffic is at only a fraction of the 130-plus daily crossings ​seen before the war, sources said on Tuesday.

Brent crude futures were up $1.30, or 1.4%, to $96.09 a barrel at 1002 GMT, after falling ​4.6% in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.01, or 1.1%, to $92.29. The contract dropped ⁠7.9% the session before.

Stock indices rallied on Tuesday on increasing optimism about the prospects for a resolution of the conflict, with the S&P ​500 hitting close to its record closing high.

U.S. President Donald Trump said talks with Tehran on ending the war could resume this week after ​ending over the weekend without any agreement. But the U.S. has also enacted a blockade of shipping leaving Iranian ports that its military said on Wednesday has completely halted trade going in and out of the country by sea.

“The optimism that had been fired up on hopes that fresh talks could end the Iran conflict ​has begun to seep away," said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club.

"Even if there’s a breakthrough this week and the Strait ​of Hormuz reopens relatively quickly, supply snarl-ups for a range of essential commodities from oil and gas, fertiliser and helium are likely to take considerable time ‌to unwind," ⁠she said.

Refiners are desperately seeking alternative crude supply, pushing up the premiums they are willing to pay for oil from areas such as the U.S. Gulf Coast and North Sea. A cargo of WTI Midland for delivery to Rotterdam traded at a record premium of $22.80 a barrel above benchmark European prices on Tuesday.

A U.S. destroyer stopped two oil tankers from leaving Iran on Tuesday, a U.S. official said.

"The Strait of Hormuz is not ​Trump's alone to reopen," said SEB ​analyst Ole Hvalbye. "Iran has its ⁠own calculus, and the regime may find it strategically useful to keep flows restricted even after any peace deal, whether to extract reparations, guarantee security, or simply to inflict political pain ahead of the November ​U.S. midterm elections."

The market stands to lose some access to further supply after two U.S. administration officials told ​Reuters on Tuesday the ⁠U.S. will not renew a 30-day waiver of sanctions on Iranian oil at sea that expires this week, and quietly let a similar sanctions waiver for Russian oil expire over the weekend.

Later in the day, markets will be watching for official U.S. inventory data from the Energy Information Administration, ⁠due at ​10:30 a.m. ET (1430 GMT).

U.S. crude oil stockpiles were expected to have risen slightly last ​week, while distillate and gasoline inventories likely fell, a Reuters poll showed.

Market sources familiar with American Petroleum Institute figures said on Tuesday U.S. crude oil inventories jumped for a third straight ​week.

Reporting by Stephanie Kelly in London, Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Christian Schmollinger, Kevin Buckland and Joe Bavier

Source: Reuters


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