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UK House Prices Drop Unexpectedly on Iran War Impact

LONDON, June 5 (Reuters) - British house prices unexpectedly fell in May, according to data from mortgage lender Halifax on Friday, which ​represented the latest sign of a cooling in the market as ‌higher borrowing costs and uncertainty caused by the Iran war weigh on demand.

House prices fell by a monthly 0.1% in May, the same as in April, representing the third ​consecutive month-on-month fall, Halifax said. A Reuters poll of economists had ​pointed to a rise of 0.1% on the month.

"Property price trends ⁠continue to reflect the uncertainty linked to developments in the Middle East," ​said Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax.

"Despite recent cuts to mortgage rates, ​higher inflation expectations have kept borrowing costs above the level seen at the start of the year, continuing to stretch affordability for many buyers and temper demand."

Compared to a year ​ago, prices were 0.5% higher, well below the 1.0% rise forecast in ​the poll.

The survey chimed with findings from rival mortgage lender Nationwide, which in May recorded ‌the first ⁠monthly fall since the start of the Iran war.

Data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors also showed a drop in house prices and demand in April.

Average mortgage rates in Britain have climbed by almost a full percentage ​point since the start ​of the ⁠U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. The conflict also means that financial markets now expect the Bank of England to raise interest ​rates later this year, rather than cut them.

Investors currently ​price in ⁠one or possibly two quarter-point rate rises by the BoE by the end of 2026, but see only around an 11% chance of a move on June ⁠18 ​after the central bank's next meeting.

Despite the higher ​borrowing costs, lenders approved the most mortgages in 15 months in April, according to data from the ​BoE on Tuesday.

Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by William James and Ros Russell

Source: Reuters


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