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Iran War Pushes German Wholesale Price Inflation to 3Y High

  • Energy, raw material prices surge on Strait of Hormuz disruption
  • Inflation likely to exceed 3% in May, economist says
  • Inflation adds pressure on German government

BERLIN, May 13 (Reuters) - German wholesale prices climbed to a three-year ‌high of 6.3% in April as the Iran war pushed up the prices of energy and raw materials, official data showed on Wednesday, compared to just 1.2% in February before the outbreak of hostilities.

Rising ​inflation due to unprecedented disruption in global energy markets has raised the ​prospect of interest rate hikes and is another headache for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's government ⁠as it struggles to gee up economic growth.

"The decisive factor for the price ​increase in April 2026 was the hostilities in Iran and the Middle East, which led ​to a rise in wholesale prices, particularly for energy products and raw materials," the federal statistics office said.

Petroleum products rose by 37.3% compared to April 2025. Global prices have spiked due to the ​virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the ​world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply normally passes.

German government bond yields also hovered around multiyear highs on ‌Wednesday ⁠as markets expected the European Central Bank to raise rates by 75 basis points by year-end.

German headline inflation accelerated to 2.9% in April.

Companies are likely to pass on higher energy costs to customers, at least in part, said Felix Schmidt, an economist at Berenberg.

"This ​will increase inflationary ​pressure, and the inflation ⁠rate is expected to jump above the 3% mark in May. We are currently forecasting an inflation rate of around 3.2%."

Battling ​to stave off the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) ​and trying ⁠to keep a lid on squabbles within his coalition, Merz's government has sought to cushion Germans from rising prices, but this has also been a bumpy process.

The government introduced ⁠a measure ​for employers to provide workers a voluntary tax-free relief ​bonus of up to 1,000 euros ($1,177), but the proposal ran into regional opposition from states.

Reporting by Rene Wagner, ​Matthias Williams, Daria Bogdanska; writing by Matthias Williams; Editing by Linda Pasquini and Clarence Fernandez

Source: Reuters


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