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Portugal's Quarterly GDP Growth Fizzles Out after Storms

LISBON, April 30 (Reuters) - Portugal's economy stagnated in the first ​quarter compared to the previous three-month period, when ‌it expanded 0.9%, official data showed on Thursday, after severe storms and floods in January and February hit the export-heavy central region.

The ​National Statistics Institute (INE) said in a statement that ​the contribution of net external demand to the ⁠quarter-on-quarter growth turned negative as imports grew more strongly ​than exports.

By contrast, the contribution of domestic demand turned ​positive, with a "marked acceleration in investment", benefiting from EU funds, even as private consumption slowed.

INE said in its flash estimate that gross ​domestic product still rose 2.3% in the first quarter ​from the same period a year earlier. In the fourth quarter, ‌GDP ⁠grew 1.9% year-on-year.

Paulo Rosa, senior economist at Banco Carregosa, said the data showed that although Portugal's economy remains resilient compared with a year earlier, reflecting the positive momentum ​of 2025, "it ​lost momentum at ⁠the start of 2026, pointing to a slowdown" due to the storms and energy ​price hikes amid the Iran war.

In March, ​the Bank ⁠of Portugal revised down its 2026 growth forecast to 1.8% from 2.3% in December, a projection the government has ⁠so far ​maintained. The economy grew by ​1.9% last year.

Rosa sees the economy growing 1.8% to 1.9% this year.

Reporting ​by Sergio Goncalves; editing by Andrei Khalip and Ros Russell

Source: Reuters


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