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Stocks Wilt as Oil Rises; Iran Ceasefire 'on Life Support'

  • Oil rises, stocks fall as Middle East ceasefire falters
  • Chip stock rally cools, Asian and European markets decline, KOSPI drops 3.5%
  • US inflation data awaited, bond yields climb, dollar strengthens against major currencies

LONDON/SINGAPORE, May 12 (Reuters) - Oil gained for a third day ​on Tuesday and the dollar rose as hopes faded for a deal to get ships moving through the Strait of ‌Hormuz, while a red-hot rally in chip stocks cooled and traders waited on U.S. inflation figures.

U.S. President Donald Trump said the month-old ceasefire with Iran was "on life support" after Tehran's response to a U.S. plan to end the war made clear the sides were far apart.

Brent crude futures were up almost 4% to about $108 ​a barrel.

In Europe, the STOXX 600, which is still only 4% below late February's record high, was down 0.6%, while U.S. ​stock futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively.

TRUMP'S TRIP TO CHINA ⁠IN FOCUS

The shine even came off the almost unstoppable KOSPI index in Seoul, which recoiled as it approached 8,000 points and dropped about 3.5%, ​pulling down other regional markets.

Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid said with U.S. and Iran appearing no closer to resolving their negotiation deadlock, Brent ​crude prices were extending the previous day's rally.

"Markets are also pricing rising chances of lasting disruption, with 6-month Brent futures up 2.54% to $89.50 a barrel yesterday," he said.

Markets are keeping a watchful eye on Trump's visit to China, which begins on Wednesday, with expectations low for either progress on Iran or on the trade front.

"Investors ​should not expect sweeping agreements. A 'win' would mean no new tariffs or export controls, and perhaps small symbolic deals, such as agricultural purchases, ​aircraft orders, or signals on rare earths," said Daniel Casali, chief investment strategist at Evelyn Partners.

"These may seem minor, but stability at the margin matters."

APRIL ‌INFLATION SPIKE ⁠EXPECTED IN U.S. DATA

U.S. inflation data is due later on Tuesday, with the headline consumer price index seen posting a 3.7% year-on-year increase, after a 3.3% rise a month earlier.

Any suggestion that the Federal Reserve may need to hike this year - rather than cut as investors had expected before the war - could rattle markets.

Global bond yields have climbed, led by a selloff in gilts in response to the pressure building ​on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who on ​Tuesday defied calls to resign. He ⁠told ministers he would "get on with governing" despite a "destabilising" 48 hours of growing calls to set out a timetable for his departure after heavy losses in local elections.

UK gilt yields rose sharply on Tuesday. The ​yield on 30-year bonds hit 5.794% , its highest since 1998, according to LSEG data. Sterling was ​down 0.5% at $1.354, ⁠making it the worst-performing major currency against the dollar.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were up 2 bps at 4.43%.

In the currency market, the dollar was on the front foot, rising 0.2% against the yen to 157.525. After meeting with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama in Tokyo, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott ⁠Bessent said ​on X that coordination with Japan was "constant and robust" in tackling undesirable, excessively volatile ​currency moves.

The euro slipped 0.31% to $1.176 and the Australian dollar fell 0.34% to $0.7226.

The Australian government rolled out its budget, which contained the biggest changes to investment taxes this century ​to help young people get into the housing market.

Additional reporting by Jihoon Lee in Seoul; Editing by John Mair, Christian Schmollinger and Alison Williams

Source: Reuters


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