Economic news

UK's FTSE 100 Snaps 4-wk Losing Streak; Rate Hike Fears Ease

  • FTSE 100 up 0.22%, FTSE 250 rises ​0.96%
  • Data prompts traders to reassess rate hike bets
  • Political uncertainty remains in focus

May 22 (Reuters) - UK's blue-chip FTSE 100 index ended a four-week losing streak after data released this week weakened expectations of a Bank of England rate hike, giving relief to investors unsettled by ​political uncertainty.

The blue-chip FTSE 100 index ended 0.22% higher on Friday, notching a ​2.66% gain for the week. The midcap FTSE 250 closed up ⁠0.96% for the day.

  • British retail sales fell by the most in nearly a year in ​April, according to official figures published on Friday, adding to signs of waning consumer ​spending against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East and rising energy costs.

  • Earlier this week, separate data also showed that inflation in April was softer than expected, while the unemployment rate ​ticked up.

  • "The current economic backdrop is much less conducive to a long-lasting bout of ​inflation than it was in 2022," said Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics.

  • On Thursday, ‌BoE ⁠policymaker Alan Taylor also said he saw less risk of second-round inflation effects from rising energy prices, than in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.

  • "Dovish data should reduce the urgency for the BoE to act. So far the MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) is taking comfort from ​tightening in financial conditions ​which they say ⁠can give them time to assess whether to hike or not," BofA Securities analysts said.

  • The brokerage now expects the central bank to ​raise borrowing costs in July, later than its previous estimate ​of a ⁠June hike.

  • "Political uncertainty is likely to increase near-term policy uncertainty and lead to tighter financial conditions, which could weigh on growth," the brokerage added.

  • Prime Minister Keir Starmer has defied calls ⁠from his ​party's lawmakers to quit, but his failure to alleviate ​concerns about the cost of living has disappointed voters.

  • Chemical shares rose 3.45% on Friday, while aerospace and defence ​stocks gained 2.76%.

Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Sahal Muhammed and Shailesh Kuber

Source: Reuters


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